Reno Sparks Residential Market Update

Welcome to my newly simplified monthly sales report by price band. I hope you find this format more useful. Since prices have come down so significantly since I started tracking local housing numbers in 2005, revised price bands reflect our new reality.
 
In January prices were down, but unit sales were up as the under $400K range continues to flirt with balanced territory. Please take note of, however, our whack-a-doodle inventory levels in the over $400K range, especially for homes over $1 million… I still believe the local high-end market has yet to capitulate. So all you luxury cash buyers out there waiting for the other shoe to drop? Keep waiting. Though some of these sellers may have infinite cash reserves and the ability to wait out a ten-year market downturn, many others do not.
 
January 2009 Sales
 
Price Range
Current Active
Number Sold
Average Sold Price
Days on Market
Percent Expired
Months Inventory
0-200K
1,806
148
$143,492
111
26%
12
200K-400K
1,447
101
$271,849
125
33%
14
400K-1 Mill
653
15
$604,926
198
50%
44
1 Mill +
198
1
$1,921,259
372
120%
198
 
 
Current Pendings
 
Price Range
Number of Short Sales
Total
Pendings
0-200K
207
519
200K-400K
176
390
400K-1 Mill
31
92
1 Mill +
4
11
 

Of a total 4,104 active listings, we saw 265 sales in January 2009 versus 204 in January 2008, an increase in activity of nearly 8%. Of particular interest is the high number of pendings in the queue at 1,012, the highest number I’ve seen in a long time and much higher than last month’s 712. (I went back twice just to make sure there was no mistake.) As pendings are a leading indicator of closings to come, it will be interesting to see how many of these actually materialize into sales next month.

Data courtesy of NNRMLS, January 2009. Includes Stick-Built Single Family, Condo/Townhomes, and Real Property Manufactured Housing in Reno-Sparks (Area 100).

Posted in Market Trends, Market Trends, Reno, Sparks | Tagged , , | 13 Comments

Take My House, Please

Leventina was purchased in April 2006 for $610,000.  It had been on the market for a long time at $680,000, so it looked like a good deal.  80% first loan at 7.25% interest only, and a 20% second.  In January 2007, our friends at BNC Mortgage did a refi for $710,000 at 9.025%, 50 year term 2/48, LIBOR +4.95%.  Bad move.

With the new loan in place and the cash out financing, it was time for Extreme Makeover, Belli Ranch Edition.  Somehow, this plywood siding clad house grew a French Provincial cottage interior with antique brick walls peeking out of the faux plaster walls, "chefs kitchen perfect for entertaining",  "designer paint", the whole works.  Except that the cash out didn’t cover the remodel costs, and the owners went to a hard money lender for an additional $49,999 loan (smarten, any idea why this wasn’t just 50K?).  The July 2007 payment on the first loan was missed, and a NOD was filed in October 2007.  About this time, the house hit the MLS at $895,000.

I toured it and chatted up the listing agent a bit.  The house was still a work in progress, with much of the remodel incomplete.  Do you get the warm fuzzies when you tour an "upscale" home and there are Post-Its all over with "This Will Be….".  I asked the agent if he had set the asking price, or if he had input from the owners, and he chuckled.  I told him my prediction of $650,000 Short, and he nodded at me.

Then nothing happened for 8 months.  It looked like some work might be going on to complete the interiors, but the house didn’t move to NOS status.  I think the bank realised that they didn’t want a half finished house on their books, and cut the owners some slack to get the work finished up and then try to sell it (no permit record, BTW) .  Winds then blew a large portion of the roofing off, just to make things worse.

In June 2008, another NOD was filed and it looked like the bank was going to get serious, and they filed a NOS in October.  The estimated amount due at sale was $804,502, still based on that July 2007 missed payment – they have been living mortgage free for over a year and a half.  The owners 95% completed moving out by Christmas.

The owners have pretty clearly stated that they don’t want the house.  The bank is saying that they don’t want it either, and won’t complete the foreclosure process.  Why not?  To complete the TD will cost them $10,000 or so – legal fees, HOA liens, and transfer taxes – on top of the legal expenses they have already incurred.   And what would be their reward taking Leventina back onto their books?

I’m not ragging on the owner for their exuberance and subsequent failure.  There are a lot of things that went bad for them at once (some of their own making – they sold their old home as a Contract of Sale, and the other party defaulted).   My interest is in how the bank is handling this property and I suspect 100′s like it.  I think there are a lot of these orphan properties out there.

Posted in General | 8 Comments

Separating condos from stick built

Sorry for the lapse in new posts on the blog.  I have friends from the bay area visiting and staying in Incline Village, so I’ve joined them in taking advantage of the awesome snow conditions to do some snowboarding over the last few days.  And you thought all I did was sell real estate.  :)

But today it’s back to business.  There’s a thought I’ve been tossing around for awhile.  It pertains to the median price that I post each month.  At the moment, the median price I track includes condo and house sales for the month.  Lately I’ve been thinking of separating the two.  When most other sites and new sources quote housing stats, they do so for houses only…and not condominiums.  Or, if they include condos, they do so as a separate number.  That is why my numbers sometimes don’t match those you see, for example, printed in the RGJ.

My thought is that by separating the two and then reporting each as a separate number, I can provide a more accurate picture of the housing market in Reno and Sparks.  If I make this change, I will go back a re-compute the historical medians for site/stick built houses and again for condo/town homes.  That way you data fans would still have the trend data available.  Let me know your thoughts on this.

To show you the effect of such a change, the median home sold price I reported for January was $194,450.  Under my new plan, I would have reported January’s median sold price as: $200,000 for site/stick built houses and $99,000 for condos/townhouse.

The trends we’ve seen since I began tracking the median numbers will not materially change.  It’s just that condos have taken a much bigger hit than stick built homes, and that bit of info gets lost when I combine the two.  For example condos are now off 52% from their peak in the fall of 2005, where as stick built houses are off 45% from their peak.

Posted in Agent Insights, Market Trends | Tagged , , , | 12 Comments

The Week That Was

The Belvedere – Scheduled for the courthouse steps next Tuesday at 11 AM.   Estimated due at sales date is $28,858,616.34, and there is another default behind this one for $15,900,000.  This may be the South Tower only – there are so many players involved that it is hard to keep them all straight.  The vacant lot just west of the project went back to the bank in December, and there are at least 20 units in some stage of foreclosure.

89595 – Did you know that the Grand Sierra Resort has it’s own zip code?  Sales of units stopped during the summer, Nikki Beach does not seem to be associated with the hotel portion anymore, about 15 units have already gone TD with about the same number in the pipeline.  There have been ZERO resales at the GSR since the project opened.  1714, originally $630,000, now listed at $280,000.  1720, originally $292,658, listed at $99,900.  Would you take a unit here if they were giving them away?  That’s a serious question.

Montage – No closings as of end of business Friday, so it doesn’t look like the promised February 16 move-ins are going to happen.  A cabal of "owners" that want to get out of their contracts and get their 10% deposits back met with an attorney yesterday.  I have mixed feelings about this.  Montage has certainly delivered the product they promised, but not in the time frame and ownership that the buyers anticipated.  Stay tuned.

Waterstone at Kiley Ranch – Originally designed to be condos, this 203 unit apartment complex received an NOD Friday for $40,632,000. 

Hope for Homeowners – Remember the program that was supposed to save 400,000 homeowners from default?  A total of 25 have received modified loans under the program.   This and more interesting reading at How the Banks are Worsening the Foreclosure Crisis from Business Week.

Short Sales and Foreclosures – The Irvine Housing Blog is always a fun read.  They had a guest letter from a real estate attorney detailing the Financial Implications of Short Sales and Foreclosures.  It is must reading.  The implications here in Nevada are very similar.

I’m really an "up" person – I swear!

 

Posted in General | 63 Comments

Ticor Title Charts for January

Notices of Default spiked big for January.  675 filed NODs in January represents a 17% increase over December’s number of NODs, and is more than double the number of NODs filed for the same period last year.  Will it ever stop?

New home sales in January dropped 48% from December’s 83 new home sales.  January’s paltry 46 new home sales represents only a third of the number sold last year in January.

Resales also declined a whopping 24% from December’s resales.  However the unit number of resales for January 2009 still remains higher than January 2008.  January represents the fifth consecutive month of higher year-over-year unit sales.

On another positive note, January re-fis took a big jump; climbing nearly 65% from December’s numbers.

[click on the charts below to enlarge]

 

Thank you to our friends at Ticor Title for providing these graphs.

 

Posted in Market Trends | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Gonowabie

Gonowabie is a magical little street in Crystal Bay.   The name is even magically fun to say.  The even numbered houses are lakefront, and the views are unparalleled.  They’re not making any more lakefront, right?  Not the sort of place you would expect to see a Notice of Default show up.

The house I’m talking about is a little cracker-box cabin built in 1974.  It is a dinky 3/2 that the county shows as 1365 SF with a 990 SF unfinished basement and no record of any permit work.  The house was listed last July, and the current asking price is $3,995,000 noting 1827 SF and 103 feet of lakefront.  The listing agent hasn’t gotten around to posting pictures yet, AKA this is a knock down,  it will never sell. (why take the listing?)

Purchased 9/01 for $1,500,000 with a $1,000,000 first and $500,000 down. (WFB)

HELOC 1/02 for $800,000.  Down payment and $300,000 extracted in 4 months. Where did the HELOC money go?  931 La Rue. (WFB)

Refi 11/02 for $1,824,000 with a 125% Option ARM.  (WAMU)

HELOC 1/04 for $200,000.  (Deepgreen)

HELOC 11/05 for $1,000,000.  (Countrywide)

Refi 8/06 fore $3,500,000 with a 115% Option ARM,  $11,542 minimum monthly payment.  (Platinum Capital Group)

HELOC 1/07 for $400,000.  (Countrywide)

NOD 2/10/2009.

Assuming minimum payments on the Option ARM and 5% per year negative amortization, there is about another $400,000 in debt on the property, though the MLS listing didn’t specifically  call this out as a short sale.  Over the last 8 years, this cabin increased in value (according to what the banks lent) by $25,000 a month, $300,000 a year, $2,400,000 total.  It just totally burns me that these are the financial wizards our tax dollars are now bailing out.  Loans in this stratosphere are not securitized and and sold off – they are held in portfolio and should be rather conservative investments.  Not the case here.

I have no clue where the money went – it certainly didn’t go back into the property and I hope the owners had a really fun time.  But I’m ready to round up the posse, and I’m searching  for some tall trees with overhanging limbs.  Yes, I know I’m going to have to pay for this mess, and it ticks me off no end.  Where are the judicial foreclosures?  
And why are we saving these institutions that made these Wonderland loans if they are unwilling to aggressively pursue to their dead beat borrowers? 

Posted in General | 33 Comments

Reno, Sparks & Rural Northern Nevada Existing Home Sales Stats – 2008

For all you data junkies out there the 2008 Annual Existing Home Sales Statistics for Reno, Sparks and Rural Northern Nevada is now available.  45 pages of data broken out by city, county and MLS area.  Enjoy.

Some takeaways:
2008 Median sales price:

  • Dropped 19% for single family/stick built homes
  • Dropped 20% for manufactured/modular
  • Dropped 20% for condos/townhouses
  • Average # of active listings dropped 5%
  • Average days on market increase 11%
Posted in Market Trends | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

January Medians and Units Sold

Well, it has finally happened.  The median sold price for Reno and Sparks, Nevada has now fallen below $200,000.  And in a BIG way!  January’s median sold price of $194,450 represents a HUGE drop from the previous month’s $209,900 – a whopping 7.4% decrease.  And I thought December’s 4% drop from November’s was big; but now the decline seems to be accelerating.  When will it stop?

The only bright spot I can see is that unit sales are way up Y-o-Y.  In fact, 28% more properties were sold in January 2009 than in January 2008.  But when houses are selling at a 27% discount off of last year’s median price, I suppose a greater number of sales can be expected.

For you price banders out there, January’s sales break out as follows:

  • 53% sold for under $200,000
  • 72% sold for under $250,000
  • 85% sold for under $300,000

 

  • 13% of the sales were short sales
  • 66% of the sales were bank-owned properties
  • …only 18% of the sales were “normal” equity sales

We are now more than 43% off of July 2005’s peak median price of $345,000.

 

 

Month and Year # Houses For Sale Median Asking $ # Houses Sold Median Sold $

Jan 2009

4,306 $239,900 244

$194,450

Dec 2008 4,352 $240,000 325 $209,900
Nov 2008 4,572 $249,000 285

$217,000

Oct 2008 4,722 $251,000 391

$222,000

Sept 2008 4,789 $260,000 365

$235,000

Aug 2008 4,806 $269,898 352

$240,000

Jul 2008 4,902 $275,000 418

$247,000

Jun 2008

4,797 $280,000 394

$255,000

May 2008 4,761 $279,900 344

$255,000

Apr 2008 4,536 $282,700 337

$269,000

Mar 2008

4,216 $289,694 246

$261,000

Feb 2008 4,068 $293,998 221

$271,632

Jan 2008

4,123 $299,895 191

$268,000

Dec 2007

4,156 $307,250 249

$275,000

Nov 2007

4,518 $310,000 231

$286,000

Oct 2007 4,880 $316,000 268

$288,000

Sept 2007 5,022 $320,000 271

$285,000

Aug 2007 5,468

$325,000

348

$295,000

Jul 2007 5,413 $330,000 351

$295,995

Jun 2007 5,368 $337,495 378

$300,000

May 2007 5,174 $339,900 427

$296,000

April 2007 4,925 $340,000 393

$295,000

Mar 2007 4,667 $340,000 391

$297,000

Feb 2007 4,408 $340,000 334

$285,000

Jan 2007 4,688 $342,000 336

$279,950

Dec 2006 4,548 $344,950 347

$293,995

Nov 2006 5,182 $349,000 330

$300,000

Oct 2006 5,640 $349,900 422

$300,000

Sept 2006 5,960 $352,000 396

$301,000

Aug 2006 6,252 $355,000 393

$310,000

Jul 2006 6,123 $360,000 416

$324,750

Jun 2006 5,949 $364,000 473

$329,000

May 2006 5,407 $369,900 432

$318,750

April 2006 4,626 $369,000 415

$317,000

Mar 2006 4,295 $369,900 437

$329,000

Feb 2006 3,899 $374,900 326

$315,250

Jan 2006 4,245 $370,000 325

$325,000

Dec 2005 4,040 $375,000 385

$319,900

Nov 2005 4,432 $376,448 443

$331,000

Oct 2005 4,694 $376,700 559

$335,000

Sept 2005 4,567 $380,000 603

$336,500

Aug 2005 4,370 $385,700 695

$334,950

Jul 2005 3,860 $387,000 677

$345,000

Jun 2005 3,411 $384,500 607

$335,000

May 2005 3,113 $375,000 717

$326,000

April 2005 2,808 $365,000 650

$315,000

Mar 2005 2,611 $350,000 660

$309,000

Feb 2005 2,198 $348,250 411

$301,000

Jan 2005 2,078 $349,000 381

$295,000

Note: The median table above is updated on a monthly basis. The median home price data reported covers the cities of Reno, Nevada and Sparks, Nevada. Residential data includes Site/Stick Built and Condo/Townhouse properties. Data excludes Manufactured/Modular and Shared Ownership properties. Data courtesy of the Northern Nevada Regional MLS – February 2009.

Posted in Market Trends | Tagged , , , , , , | 53 Comments