This week’s real estate headlines

Here are a few national real estate-related stories that came across my desk this week…

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Annualized expected growth of 7.7%

Reno-Sparks, Nevada made Business Insiders‘s list of The 14 Best Housing Markets For The Next Five Years.

Projecting annualized growth of 7.7% through 2017, the list ranks Reno-Sparks at #6 out of metros nationwide.

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RSAR Monthly Market Report – April 2013

Below please find April 2013’s market report, provided by the Reno/Sparks Association of REALTORS®.

The report is quite detailed and breaks out many of the housing market metrics by type of sale (i.e. REO, short sale, no special conditions) as well as by MLS area. Check out all the numbers be clicking on the report below.
median sales price by type
Commentary from the report:

  • Sales in the category of no special conditions represented 59% of the sales in April 2013 compared to 40% of the market in April 2012. This is attributable to equity sellers entering the market and investors who purchased at or near the bottom of the market and are now returning that inventory back to the market.
  • Median price has been trending up for the past fifteen months. Listing inventory has been trending up for the past four months and is up 16% over March. Low interest rates and affordable pricing continue to put demand on inventory, which is resulting in increased median price.
  • For the fourth consecutive month, the sold to asking price ratio exceeded 100%. April sold to asking price ration was reported at 100.2%.
  • Listings in the category of no special conditions were up 88% over April 2012; in the category of Short sales, listings were down 40% from April 2012, and in the category of bank owned, listings were down 73% from April 2012.
    With the increase in prices, some sellers may have moved into an equity seller position or in are less of an underwater position.
  • For those homeowners, who still remain underwater in their property with little hope of a loan modification, now may be the time to consider a short sale. The extension of the Mortgage Debt Relief Act is scheduled to expire December 31, 2013. If Congress does not extend the Act a second time, homeowners who sell their property for less than the amount owed will incur a tax on the forgiven portion of the debt. Short sales in Fernley are taking 180 days to receive an approval and close escrow. Now may be the time to contact a REALTOR to start the process of marketing your property for sale to help ensure a close of escrow before year end and the expiration of the Mortgage Debt Relief Act.
  • For buyers considering an FHA loan, the Department of Housing and Urban Development recently announced a change in its policies concerning the cancellation of the annual Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP) and an increase to the annual MIP. The second phase policy changes become effective June 3, 2013 and relates to the length of time or the term that the Annual Mortgage Insurance Premium is applied. Currently the MIP is cancelled when the borrower has held the loan for 5 years or reaches a 78% loan to value. Effective June 3, the MIP will be applied for the entire life of the loan that the borrower has the FHA mortgage. This change will affect the long-term costs of the loan for FHA buyers.
  • At the May 2013 NAR Mid-year Meetings in Washington, DC, Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist projected gains in Nevada median price at 4.13% – 8.75% over the next 12 months. He forecasted that there would be no recession and he anticipates the housing market will have improving home sales over the next 4 – 5 years.
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This week’s real estate headlines

Here are a few national real estate-related stories that came across my desk this week…

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Additional inventory in the pipeline

Frequent readers of this blog are keenly aware of the current lack of for-sale housing inventory in the Reno-Sparks market. The most-recent numbers I posted indicated that our market has only an approximate five-week supply of available for-sale houses.

However, a recent RealtyTrac report indicates that additional inventory may be forthcoming. In fact, both Sparks and Reno were listed as markets having the most inventory coming down the pipeline (See: FIRST QUARTER INCREASE IN BUILDING PERMITS POSITIONED TO FILL VOID IN HOUSING MARKET LEFT BY DECLINING FORECLOSURES) This determination was made by analyzing single family building permits as well as foreclosure starts at the national, state and city level.

Out of all the markets analyzed across the U.S., Sparks, Nev and Reno, Nev. took the 5th and 6th spots nationally for “most for-sale inventory coming”. [Click on the link above to see a chart.] From the report:

Cities where both single family building permits and foreclosure starts increased at least 10 percent from a year ago in the first quarter included Las Vegas, Seattle, Raleigh, N.C., Reno, Nevada, and Boca Raton, Fla.

The question is when can the local market expect to see this increase in housing stock?

[Update May 17, 2013] In a related story the Reno Gazette Journal reports that the number of single-family home permits pulled during the first quarter are up 133 percent in Reno and up 130 percent in Sparks, over the same period last year. The story also states that the executive director of the Builders Association of Northern Nevada expects about 1,000 new homes to be built this year. See the RGJ story New home building permits rise in Reno-Sparks.

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Do I qualify for a mortgage loan?

As a follow-up to yesterday’s Are you ready to buy a house? post, the next question you may be asking is, “Do I qualify for a loan?”

To help answer that question, the folks at RealEstate.com have put together the flowchart below.

Do I qualify for a mortgage flowchart

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Are you ready to buy a house?

If you have been thinking that now may be good time to buy a house, before you get too far down the home-purchase path, first determine if you are ready to buy a house. This fun flowchart below from RealEstate.com will help you with that determination.

Am-I-Ready-To-Buy-A-House-Flowchart

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Washoe County foreclosure-related recordings – April 2013

Ticor Washoe County Foreclosure April 2011-2012 Trend Line

Above please find the Washoe County Notices of Default (NODs), Notices of Sale (NOSs), Trustees Deed Filings (TDs) and New SFR REO Listings statistics for April 2013 provided to us by our friends at Ticor Title of Nevada, Inc. [Click on the chart above to enlarge.]

The number of filed Notices of Default continue to rise – again reaching their highest level since AB284 went into effect October 2011.

Here are April’s numbers (month-over-month):

  • Notices of Default – up 11%
  • Notices of Sale – down 22%
  • Trustees Deed Filings – down 18%
  • New REO listings – up 38%

Ticor Title’s commentary accompanying the statistics…

Notice of Defaults (NOD) increased significantly again.  Notices of Sales and Trustees Deeds dropped a little this month and REO Listings increased slightly.  The increasing NOD’s are partly because of the banks feeling more comfortable with AB284 and the proposed changes to AB284 (aka AB300) that are getting addressed at the current Legislative Session.  We will know more about the outcome of AB300 first part of June…..Hopefully all good news.
 
As mentioned in prior comments, inventory in Nevada is down considerably and the real estate community is concerned about the lack of inventory available in the 2nd and 3rd Quarter.  According to some numbers provided, new listings on MLS have increased considerably in the non-conditioned sales area. Non Conditioned Listings are properties that are not Short Sale or REO, but regular or equity properties….There back!  Short Sale listings and REO new listings were stagnant in April compared to March.  This big issue we are seeing is the median sales price.  In April 2012, our median sales price for single family residences was $151,200.  The Median Sales Price for April 2013 is $208,000.  You do the math.  Do you think this is healthy?
 
There are hundreds of qualified buyers ready to purchase but are getting beat out by cash buyers and investors.  This trend is starting to look very similar to the BUBBLE we experienced in the 2004-2006 timeframe.   It is hoped that Homeowners who want to sell take advantage of the market conditions and Banks, who are holding assets, will release a healthy amount of inventory, at an affordable price, to assist in our backlog of buyers waiting.

related post: Washoe County foreclosure-related recordings – March 2013

related story from the RGJ: Nevada remains No. 1 in foreclosures

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