Momentum cools from summer highs: sales step down, pricing holds mixed, inventory recedes

Incline Village / Crystal Bay — September 2025 Market Highlights

Single-Family Residences (SFRs)

Homes Sold 18   MoM -33.3% · YoY +38.5%
Median Sales Price $1,988,750   MoM -26.3% · YoY -20.5%
Median Sold PPSF $849.73   MoM -19.6% · YoY -18.6%
Median DOM 65
Available Inventory 95   MoM -5.0% · YoY -2.1%
Pending Sales 14   MoM -22.2% · YoY -33.3%
Median List Price $2,062,500
Sold-to-List Ratio 96.4%
Months Supply (MSI) 5.3

Condos / Townhomes

Units Sold 16   MoM -15.8% · YoY +14.3%
Median Sales Price $787,500   MoM +1.6% · YoY -17.8%
Median Sold PPSF $599.46   MoM -6.2% · YoY -18.6%
Median DOM 45
Available Inventory 75   MoM -7.4% · YoY +23.0%
Pending Sales 15   MoM -11.8% · YoY -11.8%
Median List Price $865,000
Sold-to-List Ratio 91.0%
Months Supply (MSI) 4.7
Data courtesy of the Incline Village REALTORS® and its Matrix™ Multiple Listing Service. All data deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Single-Family Residences (SFRs)

SFR activity cooled notably from August’s surge, with fewer closings and a pullback in median price. That said, sellers still commanded a 96.4% sold-to-list ratio and marketing times didn’t lengthen—median DOM actually ticked down to 65 days. The most striking shift is inventory: it fell both month-over-month and year-over-year, which helped keep negotiating power from swinging decisively toward buyers even as closings retrenched. With a 5.3-month supply of homes, the market is trending toward balanced conditions. Net-net, SFRs remain seller-leaning but more price-sensitive as we move into fall.

Condos / Townhomes

The condo/townhome segment held volume better than SFRs and showed a slight uptick in MOM median price, however the sold-to-list ratio (91.0%) underscores buyer pushback on over-asking. Still, inventory compressed again, and DOM improved from August. Clean, updated units in prime locations continue to move, while dated listings need sharper pricing to compete.

Big Themes This Month

  • Post-summer normalization: Both segments stepped off their summer stride. Both SFRs and condo/townhomes felt it most in units sold.
  • Inventory contraction: Lower active counts in both segments blunted a deeper swing toward buyers.
  • Marketing time steady-to-better: DOM improved MoM in both segments—buyers remain engaged when the value story is clear.
  • Pricing discipline: Over-asking strategies are getting tested. Right-priced listings still secure solid results quickly.

What to Watch Next

  • October/November closings: Does the retreat in SFR sales persist, or was September a one-month air pocket?
  • Price adjustments: With fewer fall buyers than summer, look for targeted price cuts on stale inventory.
  • Condo value plays: Expect continued buyer scrutiny on condition and HOA/amenities versus ask.
  • Rate sentiment & seasonality: Mortgage rate moves and early winter conditions can sway second-home demand into year-end.


Thinking of selling your home and looking for guidance in the current market? Are you considering a Lake Tahoe property purchase? Schedule a consultation with us to get personalized advice on your real estate goals.


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Data courtesy of the Incline Village REALTORS® and its Matrix™ Multiple Listing Service as of October 8, 2025. All data deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

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